Satellite imagery and computer modelling are forecasting the second largest Canadian wheat crop on record—only behind 2013.

Statistics Canada is projecting a small one percent increase in spring wheat production to 25.93 million metric tonnes. However, durum wheat area rose substantially this year and is expected to produce 6.9 million tonnes, or about two million tonnes more than last year.

Pea and lentil production will also rise by double digits this year. Canola is forecast to hold relatively steady at 19.4 million tonnes.

You can check out the national numbers for each crop here. The Statistics Canada news release for Saskatchewan is below:

OTTAWA – In Saskatchewan, production of lentils, oats, dry peas and wheat is expected to increase while production of barley, canola and mustard is anticipated to decrease.

Wheat – Total wheat production is expected to be 15.8 million tonnes, up 4.3% from 2019. A 3.8% rise in average yield was reported at 46.1 bushels per acre compared with last year s 44.4 bushels per acre.

Canola – Harvested area of canola is expected at 11.3 million acres in 2020, down 3.9% from 2019. Canola production is estimated to decrease 4.2% to 10.5 million tonnes. Average yield this year is estimated at 41.1 bushels per acre.

Lentils – Higher lentil production is expected at 2.4 million tonnes in 2020, a rise of 14.4% compared with 2019. Average yield was reported to be 1,398 pounds per acre, up 1.1% from 2019, while harvested area increased 13.2% at 3.7 million acres.

Dry field peas – Dry pea production in 2020 is expected to increase 2.0% to 2.4 million tonnes. Average yields are expected to increase by 3.0% to 38.1 bushels per acre. Harvested area is expected to decrease 1.0% to 2.3 million acres.

Barley – Barley production is expected to fall 7.2% in 2020, decreasing from 4.4 million tonnes in 2019 to 4.1 million tonnes this year. Average yield is anticipated to be 65.9 bushels per acre (-4.9%), while harvested acreage is expected to be down 2.3% to 2.9 million acres.

Oats – Oat production is expected to rise 1.5% in 2020 to 2.2 million tonnes.. Harvested area is expected to be 5.1% higher this year, at 1.6 million acres. Average yield is estimated to fall this year to 92.9 bushels per acre.

Mustard seed – Production of mustard seeds is expected to decrease 34.4% to 69,687 tonnes in 2020. This is the result of a fall in harvested acres, down 40.8% to 166,200 acres. Meanwhile, average yield is anticipated to be up 10.9% to be 925 pounds per acre.

Canary seed – Production of canary seed is expected to drop 2.4% in 2020, to 149,299 tonnes. The decrease would be the result of a harvested area of 259,300 acres (+0.5%) and a decrease in average yield at 1,269 pounds per acre (-2.9%).